stefanwagner

Research

I study how firms, scientists, and institutions create, protect, and commercialize new technologies.

I am particularly interested in intellectual property, R&D governance, patent systems, and the organizational choices that shape learning and innovation. Increasingly, my work also uses AI, machine learning, and computational chemistry to study technological trajectories directly at the level of scientific and molecular artifacts.

Results of my research have been publised in top management journals and beyond including Academy of Management Journal, Harvard Business Review, Management Science, Strategic Management Journal, Review of Economics and Statistics and Research Policy. Major media outlets such as the Financial Times, Forbes, or the Wall Street Journal covered it.

SUSTECH

Accelerating SUStainable TECHnological trajectories

SUSTECH logo European Research Council logo

SUSTECH investigates how technological trajectories emerge and why some alternatives are selected over others. The project focuses on chemical inventions and develops new ways to study technologies through their molecular structure, rather than only through patents, classifications, citations, or text.

The project combines computational chemistry, machine learning, and the economics of innovation to derive information about the properties of inventions directly from their underlying structure. This makes it possible to compare technological alternatives in terms of functional performance, environmental impact, and potential risks at earlier stages of development.

It has been awarded a prestigious ERC Synergy grant from European Research Council amounting to a funding volume of 10 Mio. EUR over six to be split amongst the four co-PIs.

Visit the SUSTECH project page →

Ongoing Projects

Cross-functional feedback and patent examination performance

With Tetsuo Wada (Gakushuin University, Tokyo), this project studies the Japan Patent Office’s personnel rotation system, in which mid-career patent examiners temporarily serve as administrative judges in the Trial and Appeal Department before returning to examination. The project asks whether moving professionals from production into review roles creates feedback that improves later performance.

Using examiner-level panel data and an event-study difference-in-differences design, the paper finds that post-rotation examiners increase productivity while lowering first-action grant rates, consistent with more selective and review-informed examination behavior.

The hidden costs of collaborating in imitation-oriented R&D

With Xu Li (London School of Economics), this project examines whether R&D alliances help or hinder firms’ transition from imitation to original innovation. The empirical setting is the Chinese pharmaceutical industry, where firms reverse-engineered foreign drugs either internally or through alliances with firms, universities, and research institutes.

The paper argues that alliances can improve short-run efficiency by pooling complementary expertise, but may reduce long-run learning when tasks are partitioned across partners. The findings suggest that imitation experience supports later new-to-the-world innovation, but that this benefit is weaker when imitation is accumulated through alliances rather than internally.

Bureaucracy Index Germany

This project develops a quantitative index of bureaucracy in Germany based on the volume of applicable federal legislation. The index measures the development of German federal law over time and uses the total volume of legal text as an indicator of regulatory density.

Bureaucracy Index Germany →